Estudio de causalidad sobre problemas de inclusión financiera con técnicas de ciencia de datos: el caso de México
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El presente artículo explora las causas de la inclusión financiera entre la población mexicana. Con datos de la Encuesta Nacional de Inclusión Financiera (ENIF) (INEGI, 2021) desarrolla dos modelos de aprendizaje automático con el objetivo de identificar a individuos que forman parte del sistema financiero. Estos modelos son evaluados valiéndose tanto de metodologías de inteligencia artificial como de pruebas estadísticas de significancia tradicionales. Los hallazgos sugieren que factores como nivel educativo, ingreso mensual, preferencias orientadas hacia el futuro sobre las presentes, capacidad de ahorro y acceso a teléfonos inteligentes son impulsores significativos que aumentan la probabilidad de inclusión financiera. En consecuencia, existe un potencial para la implementación de políticas públicas dirigidas a incentivar a los individuos para que adopten voluntariamente servicios financieros formales.
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